It is often said that money makes the world go round. Nowhere is this more ingrained than in the battles for oil, power and arms. The news of Saudi Arabia and its key allies severing connections with Qatar following the ongoing rift between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members shocked the world. Here are three theories about this issue.
If anyone was looking for more proof of how central banks’ actions are distorting the markets, here it is: investors are trying to “front-run” the European Central Bank (ECB) – in the words of analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch — by buying investment grade bonds.
Inflation is unlikely to flare up again as long as commodity prices remain depressed. Inflation helps countries, companies and households that have high debts to pay them off because it reduces the value of the debt, so without it the world is slowly walking into a debtors’ nightmare.
Oil prices have always had a big political component, but it seems that increasingly they also have a financial, speculative one. And if this means oil stays cheaper for longer, we may be in for a very strong economic boom.
Russia will fall into a deep recession following the ruble’s collapse and the sharp decline in the price of oil, and will drag down with it many other countries in the region this year, new forecasts from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) show.