Tag Archives: investing

Beyond the Covid-19 crisis, forecasts may be too optimistic

The Covid-19 crisis is one year old, and already, on the economic front at least, optimism is gaining ground.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) economic growth projections, released last week, point to a strong rebound: the world economy is forecast to expand by 6% this year, led by emerging and developing Asia, which is expected to grow by 8.6%.

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The Fed starts a dangerous dance with the market

With baby steps, the Fed and other major central banks are beginning their journey back towards some semblance of normality.

This will be a big resilience test for a financial system which, for more than a decade, has relied on repeated rounds of monetary generosity. Continue reading

Market turmoil tests the power of central banks

The turmoil we are currently seeing in stock and bond markets is just one battle in the war that has been going on in capital markets for a long time: debt versus equity versus central banks.

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Stricter liquidity and leverage controls may be coming

If you are wondering what’s behind the sudden largesse of the European Central Bank (ECB) when it comes to purchases of bonds, you may find a recent speech by an ECB official at a conference about financial stability enlightening.

While regulators focused on making banks safer following the 2007-2009 financial crisis, the non-bank financial sector has been allowed to continue without the same stringent requirements for liquidity and leverage. This gap came into sharp focus during the crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

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As growth gloom deepens, Twitter offers clues to earnings

Investors started last year full of optimism and ended it surrounded by doom and gloom. This year seems to have started in a bleak mood. So how likely is it that it will end on a positive note?

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Brexit will enrich the EU’s financial industry

If Brexit does go ahead (and probably even if it does not), the European Union is ready to chip away at Britain’s dominance in the financial sector. At least, that’s what a recent speech by François Villeroy de Galhau, the governor of the Bank of France, suggests.

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To understand (or prevent) the next crisis, read ‘The Money Formula’

Do you want to know how the next financial crisis will arrive, and how it could be prevented? In that case, read “The Money Formula“, a book by Paul Wilmott and David Orrell published earlier this year.

It shows you, with mathematical precision, what the financial world did not learn from the previous crisis. It also shows why it is so difficult for the rest of the world to catch them out.

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What religion can teach us about business management

— This article was originally posted in Youth Ki Awaaz, India

By Sourajit Aiyer

One advantage of being an Indian is that one gets to see multiple faiths and religions in close proximity. But the world of our religions often looks very distant from the world of our business.

Many perceive business to be pragmatic and religions to be emotional and that the two do not really intersect. But the texts of various religions actually have a lot of pragmatism, which has a lot to teach modern business management. Here are some of these teachings:

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Fears of quantitative failure and Brexit keep a lid on equities

Capital flows, investor surveys and policymakers’ comments don’t paint a very optimistic picture for the week ahead — or for the rest of the quarter, for that matter.

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New Basel rules mean buy-to-let mortgage interest rates will jump

Ahead of the Chancellor’s Budget set to be published on March 16, there is a lot of speculation that he may announce other measures to cool down the buy-to-let property market. I don’t think he will need to: the market will cool down pretty rapidly once the regulatory changes that are coming for banks are understood by buyers. Admittedly, that will take a while. This article is for those who want to stay ahead of the game.

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